El Niño and La Niña are opposite phases of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation, or ENSO, a recurring interaction between the tropical Pacific Ocean and the atmosphere. El Niño features unusually warm surface water in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific; La Niña features unusually cool water there. The atmospheric pressure and trade winds change with the ocean.
ENSO events usually develop over months, often peak near the end of the calendar year and influence weather far beyond the Pacific. They do not produce identical effects every time, so seasonal forecasts describe probabilities rather than guarantees.
What happens during neutral conditions?
In a typical neutral state, easterly trade winds push warm surface water west toward Indonesia and Australia. Near South America, colder, nutrient-rich water rises through upwelling. Warm water in the western Pacific fuels rising moist air and heavy rainfall, while air descends farther east.
What changes during El Niño?
Trade winds weaken and can sometimes reverse. Warm surface water spreads eastward, the thermocline deepens in the eastern Pacific and coastal upwelling may weaken. Rainfall shifts toward the central and eastern Pacific, altering storm tracks and the location of drought and flood risk in many regions.
Reduced nutrient delivery can affect plankton and fisheries off western South America. El Niño can also raise sea level in some regions and lower it in others as warm water and rainfall redistribute across the basin.
What changes during La Niña?
Trade winds become stronger than average, piling more warm water into the western Pacific. Cooler water occupies more of the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, and upwelling near South America tends to strengthen. Rainfall patterns often shift westward.
Many climate effects are broadly opposite to El Niño, but “opposite” does not mean perfectly symmetrical. The strength, duration, season and background ocean conditions all matter.
How ENSO affects global weather
Changes in tropical Pacific heat alter atmospheric circulation and the jet streams, creating teleconnections across the world. Some regions become more likely to experience drought, heavy rain, warmer winters or changed tropical-cyclone activity. Local outcomes depend on geography and other climate patterns.
ENSO also affects marine heat, oxygen, primary production and species distributions. Fisheries and water managers monitor official updates because impacts can develop before people see an obvious change at the coast.
Is ENSO caused by climate change?
El Niño and La Niña are natural climate variations that occurred before modern global warming. Climate change is warming the background ocean and atmosphere and may alter ENSO impacts and characteristics, but scientists do not label an individual event as “caused” by climate change. Attribution requires careful analysis.
ENSO is one example of the ocean–atmosphere partnership described in how ocean currents work. Longer-term ocean warming changes the background conditions on which this natural cycle operates.
Frequently asked questions
How often do El Niño and La Niña occur?
ENSO is irregular, generally recurring every few years. Neutral periods can last between events, and one phase may follow another.
Which is hotter, El Niño or La Niña?
El Niño is the warm phase in the central and eastern tropical Pacific; La Niña is the cool phase. That regional definition does not mean every place is warmer or cooler.